Equity Research Weekly Market Outlook Report By Mansukh 17-April-2011

Weekly Markets, Net  FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)
SNAPSHOT
For the week ended 15 April 2011, the BSE-Sensex declined by 64.63 points or 0.33% to 19,386.82. The BSE Mid-cap index increased 35.67 points or 0.50% to 7209.17 and the Small-cap index advanced 35.61 points or 0.41% to 8,808.16.On the sectoral front, FMCG zoomed 76.31 points or 2.10% to 3,713.73, Capital Goods (CG) soared 237.52 points or 1.73% to 13,979.29, Bankex surged 83.79 points or 2.80% to 13,382.96, Auto jumped 41.95 points or 0.45% to 9,439.08 and Healthcare (HC) up by 18.53 points or 0.31% to 6,142.02, were the top gainers on the BSE. On the flip side, IT was down by 299.41 points or 4.57% to 6,258.54, TECk was down by 119.75 points, or 3.09% to 3,751.26, Realty was down by 54 points or 2.19% to 2,410.15, Metal was down by 125.88 points or 0.76% to 16,381.24 and Consumer Durables (CD) down by 45.86 points or 0.71% to 6,381.24 were the top loser on the index. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 17.45 points or 0.30% to 5,825. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), CNX IT tumbled 4.56% to 6,842.15 while CNX mid-cap gained 0.36% to 8,317.85, Bank Nifty gained 0.53% to 11,735.65 and CNX Nifty Junior advanced 0.54% to 11606.20.
Volume & Volatility Index(Nifty- April 2011)
WEEK GONE BY
After minutely escaping from dipping into the red terrain in the previous week, the frontline indices slipped into the negative territory this time around, though marginally, as the triple 'I's viz. IIP numbers which merely grew at a pace of 3.6%, Inflation stood at 8.98% in March against 8.31% in Feb 2011 and Interest Rates, continued to haunt the domestic benchmarks for quite some time now, quadrupled with Infosys being the latest addition to the list. The psychological 5,800 and 19,400 levels proved to be a strong supports for the BSE' Sensex and the NSE Nifty as they consolidated around these levels for yet another week and looked in no mood to give away the substantial gains accumulated two weeks ago. The over 3% laceration in international crude oil prices which were trading around two and half year high levels, on the back of apprehensions of sluggish demand and slow economic recovery, too eased investor concerns. However the bourses, after another one-day break, took a nasty blow of around one and half a percent on the back of dreadful local leads. The flavor of a hectic earning season turned bitter right from the very start and the frontline indices took a blow after IT bellwether Infosys reported below expectation quarterly earnings and gave even lower than expected EPS guidance for FY12.

WEEK AHEAD
After having an imperative numbers of economic data last week the next big aspect that will be driving the Indian equity markets will be other corporate quarterly reports as earnings season shifts into high gear in the coming week. Companies like HDFC Bank, IFCI, IndusInd Bank, Magma Fincorp and Persistent Systems will be reporting their numbers in the week. Since there will be no major economic data up for release in the coming week the investor's will continue to watch the crude oil prices and Foreign fund inflows for cues since these two factors have been dictating the market's movements from quite some time now. Meanwhile, the Government of India in the coming week will take up 46 foreign investment (FDI) proposals. From the global markets investors will be eying lots of major economic data from the US, starting with Housing Starts data on April 19, followed by Existing Home Sales, Jobless Claims and finally the Philadelphia Fed Survey data on Thursday, April 21, 2011. For the coming week 5720 followed by 5605 are likely to be good support levels for the Nifty, while the index may face some resistance at 5950 and 6070 levels.HAPPY TRADING….

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 15th-April-2011

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F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880.
ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462.
Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.
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Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Daily Report by Mansukh 13-April-2011

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units. From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462. Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935. Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.

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F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,859.30, at a premium of 17.30 over spot closing of 5,842.00, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,877.00 at a premium of 35.00 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.50% or 0.93 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.67 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 2.20 points at 2783.00 compared with spot closing of 2780.80. The number of contracts traded was 19,602. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.65 points at 1103.60 compared with spot closing of 1097.95. The number of contracts traded was 16,513.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 6.55 points at 1245.50 compared with spot closing of 1252.05. The number of contracts traded was 12,095.

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.65 points at 260.70 compared with spot closing of 260.05. The number of contracts traded was 14,173.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of  0.05 points at 629.40 compared with spot closing of 629.35. The number of contracts traded was 11,723.
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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 8th-April-2011

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F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,902.10, at a premium of 16.40 over spot closing of 5,885.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,921.00 at a premium of 35.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 4.62% or 1.24 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.15
mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 4.10 points at 2815.00 compared with spot closing of 2810.90. The number of contracts traded was 20,804.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 10.05 points at 1270.95 compared with spot closing of 1281.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,562.

ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.60 points at 1107.00 compared with spot closing of 1101.40. The number of contracts traded was 14,686.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.55 points at 639.55 compared with spot closing of 639.00. The number of contracts traded was 12,096.

Unitech April 2011 futures were at a discount of 0.15 points at 47.60 compared with spot closing of 47.75. The number of contracts traded was 17,623.

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 7th-April-2011

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F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,912.00, at a premium of 20.25 over spot closing of 5,891.75, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,931.50 at a premium of 39.75 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.90% or 1.05 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.95 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 6.60 points at 2793.00 compared with spot closing of 2786.40. The number of contracts traded was 25,131.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 18.60 points at 1278.50 compared with spot closing of 1297.10. The number of contracts traded was 22,539.Titan April 2011 futures were at a premium of 27.00 points at 4053.00 compared with spot closing of 4026.00. The number of contracts traded was 10,167. 

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.40 points at 271.60 compared with spot closing of 270.20. The number of contracts traded was 16,777. Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.25 points at 635.75 compared with spot closing of 634.50. The number of contracts traded was 14,016. 

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 7th-April-2011

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,912.00, at a premium of 20.25 over spot closing of 5,891.75, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,931.50 at a premium of 39.75 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.90% or 1.05 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.95 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 6.60 points at 2793.00 compared with spot closing of 2786.40. The number of contracts traded was 25,131.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 18.60 points at 1278.50 compared with spot closing of 1297.10. The number of contracts traded was 22,539.Titan April 2011 futures were at a premium of 27.00 points at 4053.00 compared with spot closing of 4026.00. The number of contracts traded was 10,167. 

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.40 points at 271.60 compared with spot closing of 270.20. The number of contracts traded was 16,777. Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.25 points at 635.75 compared with spot closing of 634.50. The number of contracts traded was 14,016.