Showing posts with label equity weekly market outlook. Show all posts
Showing posts with label equity weekly market outlook. Show all posts

Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 23July 2011

SNAPSHOT

Indian equity markets, which failed to extend the winning momentum last week, resumed the northward journey by settling with close to a percent gains in the week ended July 22. The enthralling week saw the frontline indices being buttressed not only by encouraging reports from the domestic front but also by easing concerns over global financial stability. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex gained 160.38 points or 0.86% to 18722.30 during the week ended July 22, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index was up by 39.37 points or 0.56% to 7046.12 and the Small-cap index was up by 100.27 points or 1.20% to 8463.49.  The S&P CNX Nifty gained 52.85 points or 0.95% to 5633.95. On the National Stock Exchange(NSE), Bank Nifty increased by 57.40 points or 0.51% to 11291.95, CNX IT surged 92.45 points or 1.46% to 6438.50 while CNX mid-cap lost 21.30 points or 0.26% to 8153.90 and CNX Nifty Junior slipped 111.70 points or 0.98% to 11278.45. India's food inflation has once again resumed its declining trajectory as the Food Articles group rose 7.58% in the week ended July 9 compared to 8.31% in the previous week. The Empowered Group of Minister (EGoM) on food headed by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee removed the four year ban from export export of wheat.

Meanwhile, Indian agriculture production registered a record increase of around 11% during the 2010-11 agriculture season while ministry of finance approved 31 foreign direct investment (FDI) proposals worth Rs 3844.70 core. The domestic indices were largely influenced by the encouraging developments from the Euro-zone where European Union leaders carved out a second bailout package worth 109 billion euros ($157 billion) for debt-stricken Greece in a desperate effort to contain the 18 month long debt crisis in Europe, which is threatening to spread to much larger economies.

Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 16July 2011

SNAPSHOT

Indian benchmark indices failed to extend the winning run for the fourth straight week and halted the weekly uptrend with around one and half a percent losses. The eventful week saw the frontline indices being tormented not only because of domestic reasons but also by worsening global financial situation. The markets got off to a subdued opening for the week as last Friday's pessimism got spilled into Monday's session. What unfolded in the next couple of days was a nasty cut of over one and half a percent followed by a recuperation of around a percentage points. The bourses were destined for similar fortune in the next two days as well but the magnitude of gains and losses was moderate. Then came the extremely disappointing IIP numbers for the month of May which unexpectedly slowed to 5.6% from a year earlier, confirming the signs that the economy is losing steam after a string of interest rate hikes by RBI. Meanwhile, monthly WPI inflation numbers released by the government gave some respite to the markets as it increased to 9.44% in June against 9.06% in the previous month, whereas economists had forecast a gloomier picture and a sharper rise to 9.7% because of the recent hike in prices of petroleum products by the government.
However, the relief proved temporary as weak monsoon data took its toll on sentiments. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex lost 296.12 points or 1.57% to 18561.92 during the week ended July 15, 2011. The BSE Mid- cap index gained marginally by 10.44 points or 0.15% to 7006.75 and the Small-cap index lost 11.92 points or 0.14% to 8363.22. The S&P CNX Nifty declined by 79.55 points or 1.41% to 5581.10. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bank Nifty lost 50.60 points or 0.45% to 11234.55, CNX IT slipped 377.80 points or 5.62% to 6346.05 while CNX mid- cap increased by 59.30 points or 0.73% to 8175.20 and CNX Nifty Junior gained 33.40 points or 0.29% to 11390.15.

Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 2nd July 2011


SNAPSHOT

Boisterous Indian benchmarks witnessed an awe-inspiring week of trade as they carried forward their exhilaration from the previous week and vivaciously rallied over 1,250 (Sensex) and 350 (Nifty) points from last Thursday to this Thursday. However, the frontline indices receded on Friday, halting a six-day advance, as some investors judged the recent rally as excessive and resorted to profit booking on speculations that fundamentally things have not changed much and also on expectations that Reserve Bank of India would continue its tightening measures until there are clear signs of inflation easing. Nevertheless, the frontline indices accumulated around three percent points for the week, the largest weekly gain since late March as optimistic global cues coupled with encouraging local developments fortified investors' mood. Foreign institutional investors showed renewed vigor in Indian equities following the government's decision to hike prices of petroleum products while the reduction in customs and excise duty came as an incremental positive surprise for them. The net FII inflow in the equity stood at over Rs 4,600 crore till Thursday.


The core infrastructure industries registered a slowdown in the pace of growth in the month of May, coming down at 5.3% compared to 7.4% registered in May 2010, mainly due to increased interest rates and confusion on policies. The RBI has raised interest rates 10 times since March 2010 to tame inflationary pressures and has made its intention clear to sacrifice some growth to calm inflation. The food inflation numbers showed signs of cooling in the week ended June 18, According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose to 7.78% for the week-ended June 18, from 9.13% for the previous week.

Weekly Market Outlook 25th June 2011

SNAPSHOT
Indian stocks markets finally succeeded in salvaging a close in the positive territory, snapping the two week downtrend, as the enthralling close to 700 points rally in the last two trading session of the week for the Sensex helped it to overturn the massive losses incurred on the initial day of the week. The benchmark indices went on to re-capture the important psychological 5,450 and 18,200 levels and end the week with close to two percent gains amid encouraging global cues including a resolution over Greece debt trouble after it gained EU and IMF's approval of its latest five-year austerity plan and also after a decision by International Energy Agency to increase oil supplies. However, what followed in the last two sessions was healthy short covering rally as it seemed like investors keenly awaited for a catalyst to buy in India since they were of the belief that domestic markets have bottomed out and a lot of headwinds have been factored in. The BSE Sensex surged by 370.15 points or 2.07% to 18240.68 during the week ended June 24, 2011. The S&P CNX Nifty heaved by 104.85 points or 1.95% to 5471.25.

Food inflation numbers have ricocheted a week after showing some signs of moderation. According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose to 9.13 percent for the week-ended June 11, from 8.96 percent for the previous week. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at 107 points in May 2011, higher by 7% as compared to the base of 100 in 2010 and marginally up by 0.1% from the month of April. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the equity segment in the week with gross purchases of Rs 10400.60 crore and gross sales of 11526.70 crore, leading to a net outflow of Rs 1126.10 crore.



Weekly Market Outlook 18th June 2011

 SNAPSHOT

Indian equity indices extended the downtrend for the second consecutive week as investors at large continued to avoid long positions amid an increasingly vulnerable global as well as domestic setup. The hefty position squaring in last three session of the week proved very costly for the benchmark indices as it plunged over two percent on week on week basis. Foreign institutional investors (FII) restlessly attempted to plough back their hot money from the domestic markets because of confluence of worrying economic trends like accelerating inflation, declining foreign investment and slower growth and domestic investment, that policy inertia is only making worse. The BSE Sensex lost 398.01 points or 2.18% to 17870.53 during the week ended June 17, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index plunged by 83.49 points or 1.21% to 6814.79 and the Small-cap index declined by 113.97 points or 1.38% to 8174.49.The S&P CNX Nifty slipped by 119.40 points or 2.18% to 5366.40. On the NSE, Bank Nifty lost 116.00 points or 1.08% to 10598.25, CNX IT sank 296.35 points or 4.45% to 6357.10 while CNX mid-cap declined 70.90 points or
0.89% to 7921.15 and CNX Nifty Junior dropped 227.20 points or 2.01% to 11051.25.

The annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, came much higher than the expectation at 9.06% (Provisional) for the month of May, 2011 (over May, 2010) as compared to 8.66% (Provisional) for the previous month and 10.48% during the corresponding month of the previous year. RBI furthered its aggressive stance against the rampant inflation and hiked repo rate and reverse repo rate by 25 basis points each to 7.50% and 6.50% respectively, in its mid-quarter policy review, which was in line with broader market expectations. 


     

Read More: Equity Research Weekly Report




Weekly Market Outlook 4th June 2011


SNAPSHOT

Despite concluding three out of the five trading session of the week in the negative zone, Indian benchmarks still negotiated a close in the green territory with gains of well over half a percent on the week on week basis. In their journey, the key indices also went on to break the two week downtrend but failed to hold on to the psychological 5,600 and 18,650 levels. Investors went through a hectic week as an assortment of reports popped through the period keeping investors in a dilemma and frontline indices in a sticky situation. Bullishness seemed to be returning to the markets which were evident from the fact that the frontline indices showed some resilience and did not capitulate despite an assortment of disappointing economic reports. To start with it was the GDP data released on Tuesday which showed that nation's economy grew by 7.8% in the fourth quarter ending March this year, mainly due to poor performance of the manufacturing sector. On Wednesday, the HSBC PMI figures based on a survey of around 500 companies were released which showed manufacturing activity in India in May slowed from a month earlier, yet output remained robust, reflecting the underlying strength in business conditions.

Furthermore an official data released by the Ministry of Commerce showed that India's six core industries grew by 5.2% in April 2011 as compared to 7.4% in the previous month and 7.5% in the same month of last year. Another data released by the commerce ministry showed that India's trade deficit in April narrowed to $8.98 billion from $11.03 billion in the same period a year earlier, however, the trade deficit rose (month on month) to $8.98 billion in April from $5.6 billion in March.

Read More: Equity Research Weekly Report