Nifty Apr Fut closed at a premium of 25.55 points ! Derivative Report By Mansukh 29th-april-2011

Derivative Research Report
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,785.20, at a discount of 0.25 points over spot closing of 5,785.45, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,811.00 at a premium of 25.55 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires today. Nifty April futures saw contradiction of 3.93% or 0.52 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 12.83 mn units.
From the most active underlying, ICICI Bank April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 5.25 points at 1117.40 compared with spot closing of 1112.15. The number of contracts traded was 41,387.
ICICI Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 8.45 point at 1120.60 compared with spot closing of 1112.15. The number of contracts traded was 39,310.
SBI's April 2011 futures were at a premium of 7.00 points at 2855.35 compared with spot closing of 2848.35. The number of contracts traded was 20,979.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 6.50 points at 2928.75 compared with spot closing of 2922.25. The number of contracts traded was 19,210.
SBI's May 2011 futures were at a premium of 24.00 points at 2872.35 compared with spot closing of 2848.35. The number of contracts traded was 18,164.
Open Interest Gainer & Looser

Nifty Option Open Inetrest
Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5800 call added 7.09 lakh shares in OI, up 51.11% and 5900 call added 6.62 lakh shares in OI, up 37.49%. On the put side nifty May 5700 put added 5.15 lakh shares in OI, up 7.18% and 5600 put added 6.85 lakh in OI, up 21.54%. The put-call ratio of stock option increased from 0.37 to 0.42 while put-call ratio of index option decreased from 0.83 to 0.79. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.78.

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Equity Result Updates - Experts Prediction On Market Trends 23rd-April-2011

Below Estimates with Muted Guidelines for FY12
Data Matrix as on 21.04.11 (BSE)
Infosys Technologies,India's second largest IT services exporter once again disappointed the market with the Q4FY11 results below estimates. Although, company has reported quite well but not line with the expectations. Actually, for FY11-12 the guidance of revenue in dollar terms at 18-20% and the EPS of 8-10% are quite acceptable but in rupee terms EPS guidance of Rs 126.05-128.21 is quite disappointed the street. The revenue of the company from banking and financial segment also consolidated in the same quarter.

For FY11, the consolidated revenues of the company stood at Rs 27,501 crore, up 20.93% compared to Rs 22,742 crore reported in the last year. Net profit of the company increased by 9.71% to Rs 6,823 crore against Rs 6,219 crore for the year ended March 31, 2010. Segmental revenue showed a good improvement from Financial Services, up by 27.56% to Rs 9,862 crore from Rs 7,731 crore, Manufacturing revenue were up by 19.68% to Rs 5,393 crore from Rs 4,506 crore and the Retail revenue grew by 28.43% to Rs 3,898 from Rs 3,035 crore, however revenue from Telecom segment declined by 3.06% to Rs 3,549 crore from Rs 3,661 crore in last year. Earnings per share for financial year 2010-11 improved to Rs 119.41 from Rs 108.90.

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS YEARLY

Both margins down by more than 165bps…
For the year ended FY11 Infosys has reported jump of more than 20% in its Net Sales to Rs 25385 crore from Rs 21140 crore in FY10. On account of increase in Cost of Services & Raw Materials up to 50% the operating profit of the company increase by 14.3% to Rs 8414 crore from 7360 crore in previous year and with the jump of 12% from FY10 the Profit After Tax for the same period stood at Rs 6443 crore. Operating Margin of the Infosys for FY11 declined by 167bps to 33.15% while PAT Margin turned down by 184bps to 25.38% during the same period.

Share Price Movement

Segment - Consolidation in Telecom Segment…
For FY11 on segmental basis the major contributor of revenue Financial Services reported rise of 26.37% to Rs 9293 crore compared to Rs 7354 crore this segment has contributed around 36.6% for the same period, Manufacturing Services add 17.5% revenue with the jump of 18.5% to Rs 4686 crore from Rs 3988 crore, Retail segment which accounts around 15% revenue surged by 25.69% to Rs 3757 crore from Rs 2989 crore while due to stiff competition in the sector the Telecom segment revenue came at Rs 3134 crore, down by 3.09% from Rs 3234 crore this has contributed around 12.35% to the total revenue in FY11. The other segments which also accounts 17.8% of the Infosys total revenue has also shown growth of 26.3% to Rs 4515 crore from Rs 3575 crore in FY10.




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Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Report By Mansukh 26-April-2011

Derivative Strategy
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,877.00, at a premium of 2.50 over spot closing of 5,874.50, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,902.00 at a premium of 27.50 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 6.01% or 1.36 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 24.17 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 11.80 points at 2926.90 compared with spot closing of 2915.10. The number of contracts traded was 20,255.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.40 point at 2943.40 compared with spot closing of 2940.00. The number of contracts traded was 19,950.
Sterlite Industries April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.95 points at 184.80 compared with spot closing of 183.85. The number of contracts traded was 19,317.
Axis Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 4.40 points at 1382.00 compared with spot closing of 1377.60. The number of contracts traded was 20,321.
RIL April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.00 points at 1012.00 compared with spot closing of 1009.00. The number of contracts traded was 27,240.

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 21st-April-2011

Nifty Sentiment Indicators
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,874.00, at a premium of 22.35 over spot closing of 5,851.65, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,894.60 at a premium of 42.95 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 6.29% or 1.52 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 25.84 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 12.90 points at 2808.50 compared with spot closing of 2795.60. The number of contracts traded was 32,837.

Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.50 points at 2913.50 compared with spot closing of 2903.00. The number of contracts traded was 23,141.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 4.85 points at 1245.15 compared with spot closing of 1250.00. The number of contracts traded was 21,332.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 2.30 points at 628.80 compared with spot closing of 626.50. The number of contracts traded was 18,683.

TCS April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.20 points at 1224.95 compared with spot closing of 1221.75. The number of contracts traded was 18,566. .
Derivative Strategy

Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty April 5900 call shed 5.69 lakh shares in OI; down 7.79% and 6000 call shed 4.30 lakh shares in OI, down 4.63%. On the put side nifty April 5800 put added 21.33 lakh shares in OI, up 43.39% and 5700 put added 7.97 lakh in OI, up 12.88%. The put-call ratio of stock option decreased from 0.36to 0.34 while put-call ratio of index option decreased from 0.94 to 0.93. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.89.

NIFTY STRATEGY
The nifty future is likely to trade in the range of 5620-5930 level in short term as the OI is added. The trading strategy would be to create long positions if the nifty takes support around 5800 levels for the target of 5850 and 5900. On the other hand, one can also create short positions if the nifty resists around 5930 levels.

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Equity Research Weekly Market Outlook Report By Mansukh 17-April-2011

Weekly Markets, Net  FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)
SNAPSHOT
For the week ended 15 April 2011, the BSE-Sensex declined by 64.63 points or 0.33% to 19,386.82. The BSE Mid-cap index increased 35.67 points or 0.50% to 7209.17 and the Small-cap index advanced 35.61 points or 0.41% to 8,808.16.On the sectoral front, FMCG zoomed 76.31 points or 2.10% to 3,713.73, Capital Goods (CG) soared 237.52 points or 1.73% to 13,979.29, Bankex surged 83.79 points or 2.80% to 13,382.96, Auto jumped 41.95 points or 0.45% to 9,439.08 and Healthcare (HC) up by 18.53 points or 0.31% to 6,142.02, were the top gainers on the BSE. On the flip side, IT was down by 299.41 points or 4.57% to 6,258.54, TECk was down by 119.75 points, or 3.09% to 3,751.26, Realty was down by 54 points or 2.19% to 2,410.15, Metal was down by 125.88 points or 0.76% to 16,381.24 and Consumer Durables (CD) down by 45.86 points or 0.71% to 6,381.24 were the top loser on the index. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 17.45 points or 0.30% to 5,825. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), CNX IT tumbled 4.56% to 6,842.15 while CNX mid-cap gained 0.36% to 8,317.85, Bank Nifty gained 0.53% to 11,735.65 and CNX Nifty Junior advanced 0.54% to 11606.20.
Volume & Volatility Index(Nifty- April 2011)
WEEK GONE BY
After minutely escaping from dipping into the red terrain in the previous week, the frontline indices slipped into the negative territory this time around, though marginally, as the triple 'I's viz. IIP numbers which merely grew at a pace of 3.6%, Inflation stood at 8.98% in March against 8.31% in Feb 2011 and Interest Rates, continued to haunt the domestic benchmarks for quite some time now, quadrupled with Infosys being the latest addition to the list. The psychological 5,800 and 19,400 levels proved to be a strong supports for the BSE' Sensex and the NSE Nifty as they consolidated around these levels for yet another week and looked in no mood to give away the substantial gains accumulated two weeks ago. The over 3% laceration in international crude oil prices which were trading around two and half year high levels, on the back of apprehensions of sluggish demand and slow economic recovery, too eased investor concerns. However the bourses, after another one-day break, took a nasty blow of around one and half a percent on the back of dreadful local leads. The flavor of a hectic earning season turned bitter right from the very start and the frontline indices took a blow after IT bellwether Infosys reported below expectation quarterly earnings and gave even lower than expected EPS guidance for FY12.

WEEK AHEAD
After having an imperative numbers of economic data last week the next big aspect that will be driving the Indian equity markets will be other corporate quarterly reports as earnings season shifts into high gear in the coming week. Companies like HDFC Bank, IFCI, IndusInd Bank, Magma Fincorp and Persistent Systems will be reporting their numbers in the week. Since there will be no major economic data up for release in the coming week the investor's will continue to watch the crude oil prices and Foreign fund inflows for cues since these two factors have been dictating the market's movements from quite some time now. Meanwhile, the Government of India in the coming week will take up 46 foreign investment (FDI) proposals. From the global markets investors will be eying lots of major economic data from the US, starting with Housing Starts data on April 19, followed by Existing Home Sales, Jobless Claims and finally the Philadelphia Fed Survey data on Thursday, April 21, 2011. For the coming week 5720 followed by 5605 are likely to be good support levels for the Nifty, while the index may face some resistance at 5950 and 6070 levels.HAPPY TRADING….

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 15th-April-2011

Derivative Commodity
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880.
ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462.
Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.
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Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Daily Report by Mansukh 13-April-2011

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units. From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462. Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935. Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.

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Future Level Daily Report By Mansukh

Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 11th-April-2011

derivative trading in india
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,859.30, at a premium of 17.30 over spot closing of 5,842.00, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,877.00 at a premium of 35.00 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.50% or 0.93 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.67 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 2.20 points at 2783.00 compared with spot closing of 2780.80. The number of contracts traded was 19,602. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.65 points at 1103.60 compared with spot closing of 1097.95. The number of contracts traded was 16,513.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 6.55 points at 1245.50 compared with spot closing of 1252.05. The number of contracts traded was 12,095.

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.65 points at 260.70 compared with spot closing of 260.05. The number of contracts traded was 14,173.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of  0.05 points at 629.40 compared with spot closing of 629.35. The number of contracts traded was 11,723.
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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 8th-April-2011

Derivative trading in india
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,902.10, at a premium of 16.40 over spot closing of 5,885.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,921.00 at a premium of 35.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 4.62% or 1.24 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.15
mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 4.10 points at 2815.00 compared with spot closing of 2810.90. The number of contracts traded was 20,804.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 10.05 points at 1270.95 compared with spot closing of 1281.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,562.

ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.60 points at 1107.00 compared with spot closing of 1101.40. The number of contracts traded was 14,686.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.55 points at 639.55 compared with spot closing of 639.00. The number of contracts traded was 12,096.

Unitech April 2011 futures were at a discount of 0.15 points at 47.60 compared with spot closing of 47.75. The number of contracts traded was 17,623.

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 7th-April-2011

Derivative Margin Report
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,912.00, at a premium of 20.25 over spot closing of 5,891.75, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,931.50 at a premium of 39.75 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.90% or 1.05 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.95 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 6.60 points at 2793.00 compared with spot closing of 2786.40. The number of contracts traded was 25,131.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 18.60 points at 1278.50 compared with spot closing of 1297.10. The number of contracts traded was 22,539.Titan April 2011 futures were at a premium of 27.00 points at 4053.00 compared with spot closing of 4026.00. The number of contracts traded was 10,167. 

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.40 points at 271.60 compared with spot closing of 270.20. The number of contracts traded was 16,777. Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.25 points at 635.75 compared with spot closing of 634.50. The number of contracts traded was 14,016. 

Open Interest Gainer & Open Interest Loser

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 7th-April-2011

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,912.00, at a premium of 20.25 over spot closing of 5,891.75, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,931.50 at a premium of 39.75 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.90% or 1.05 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.95 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 6.60 points at 2793.00 compared with spot closing of 2786.40. The number of contracts traded was 25,131.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 18.60 points at 1278.50 compared with spot closing of 1297.10. The number of contracts traded was 22,539.Titan April 2011 futures were at a premium of 27.00 points at 4053.00 compared with spot closing of 4026.00. The number of contracts traded was 10,167. 

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.40 points at 271.60 compared with spot closing of 270.20. The number of contracts traded was 16,777. Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.25 points at 635.75 compared with spot closing of 634.50. The number of contracts traded was 14,016.