Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 23July 2011

SNAPSHOT

Indian equity markets, which failed to extend the winning momentum last week, resumed the northward journey by settling with close to a percent gains in the week ended July 22. The enthralling week saw the frontline indices being buttressed not only by encouraging reports from the domestic front but also by easing concerns over global financial stability. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex gained 160.38 points or 0.86% to 18722.30 during the week ended July 22, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index was up by 39.37 points or 0.56% to 7046.12 and the Small-cap index was up by 100.27 points or 1.20% to 8463.49.  The S&P CNX Nifty gained 52.85 points or 0.95% to 5633.95. On the National Stock Exchange(NSE), Bank Nifty increased by 57.40 points or 0.51% to 11291.95, CNX IT surged 92.45 points or 1.46% to 6438.50 while CNX mid-cap lost 21.30 points or 0.26% to 8153.90 and CNX Nifty Junior slipped 111.70 points or 0.98% to 11278.45. India's food inflation has once again resumed its declining trajectory as the Food Articles group rose 7.58% in the week ended July 9 compared to 8.31% in the previous week. The Empowered Group of Minister (EGoM) on food headed by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee removed the four year ban from export export of wheat.

Meanwhile, Indian agriculture production registered a record increase of around 11% during the 2010-11 agriculture season while ministry of finance approved 31 foreign direct investment (FDI) proposals worth Rs 3844.70 core. The domestic indices were largely influenced by the encouraging developments from the Euro-zone where European Union leaders carved out a second bailout package worth 109 billion euros ($157 billion) for debt-stricken Greece in a desperate effort to contain the 18 month long debt crisis in Europe, which is threatening to spread to much larger economies.

Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 16July 2011

SNAPSHOT

Indian benchmark indices failed to extend the winning run for the fourth straight week and halted the weekly uptrend with around one and half a percent losses. The eventful week saw the frontline indices being tormented not only because of domestic reasons but also by worsening global financial situation. The markets got off to a subdued opening for the week as last Friday's pessimism got spilled into Monday's session. What unfolded in the next couple of days was a nasty cut of over one and half a percent followed by a recuperation of around a percentage points. The bourses were destined for similar fortune in the next two days as well but the magnitude of gains and losses was moderate. Then came the extremely disappointing IIP numbers for the month of May which unexpectedly slowed to 5.6% from a year earlier, confirming the signs that the economy is losing steam after a string of interest rate hikes by RBI. Meanwhile, monthly WPI inflation numbers released by the government gave some respite to the markets as it increased to 9.44% in June against 9.06% in the previous month, whereas economists had forecast a gloomier picture and a sharper rise to 9.7% because of the recent hike in prices of petroleum products by the government.
However, the relief proved temporary as weak monsoon data took its toll on sentiments. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex lost 296.12 points or 1.57% to 18561.92 during the week ended July 15, 2011. The BSE Mid- cap index gained marginally by 10.44 points or 0.15% to 7006.75 and the Small-cap index lost 11.92 points or 0.14% to 8363.22. The S&P CNX Nifty declined by 79.55 points or 1.41% to 5581.10. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bank Nifty lost 50.60 points or 0.45% to 11234.55, CNX IT slipped 377.80 points or 5.62% to 6346.05 while CNX mid- cap increased by 59.30 points or 0.73% to 8175.20 and CNX Nifty Junior gained 33.40 points or 0.29% to 11390.15.

Weekly Market Outlook - SNAPSHOT - By Mansukh - 2nd July 2011


SNAPSHOT

Boisterous Indian benchmarks witnessed an awe-inspiring week of trade as they carried forward their exhilaration from the previous week and vivaciously rallied over 1,250 (Sensex) and 350 (Nifty) points from last Thursday to this Thursday. However, the frontline indices receded on Friday, halting a six-day advance, as some investors judged the recent rally as excessive and resorted to profit booking on speculations that fundamentally things have not changed much and also on expectations that Reserve Bank of India would continue its tightening measures until there are clear signs of inflation easing. Nevertheless, the frontline indices accumulated around three percent points for the week, the largest weekly gain since late March as optimistic global cues coupled with encouraging local developments fortified investors' mood. Foreign institutional investors showed renewed vigor in Indian equities following the government's decision to hike prices of petroleum products while the reduction in customs and excise duty came as an incremental positive surprise for them. The net FII inflow in the equity stood at over Rs 4,600 crore till Thursday.


The core infrastructure industries registered a slowdown in the pace of growth in the month of May, coming down at 5.3% compared to 7.4% registered in May 2010, mainly due to increased interest rates and confusion on policies. The RBI has raised interest rates 10 times since March 2010 to tame inflationary pressures and has made its intention clear to sacrifice some growth to calm inflation. The food inflation numbers showed signs of cooling in the week ended June 18, According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose to 7.78% for the week-ended June 18, from 9.13% for the previous week.

Learn How To Start Investment in Stock Market?

HOW TO START?

1) In order to buy / sell a share, you need to first become a client of one of the stock market members who are commonly known as stock brokers.
2) Open Demat A/c
3) Open Trading A/c

MARKET MECHANISM

1) A stock market has many members who co ordinate for various activities in the process of placing orders, their execution and settlement etc. A person who desires to buy / sell shares in the stock market, can place his order through the broker either in the traditional manner or can place an online order himself through the terminal provided by the broker.

2) Two trading days are considered for settlement where Saturday, Sunday, Bank Holidays and trading holidays are not considered as working days for settlement. Hence, a trade done on Monday will get settled on Wednesday.

DO AND DON'TS

1) Always consult a professional. In order to avoid any mistakes in your investment decisions, you should always consult a professional to plan out your investments and to get qualified investment advice.

2) Keep yourself updated with latest market news If you are investing in equity, it is advised that you keep yourself updated about the latest market news as there are a lot of announcements that take place from day to day such as mergers, acquisition, dividends, Annual Meetings etc. This helps you to get a clue as to what is the effect of such news on your investments and what is the expected return from your investment.

3) Don't put blind faith in a stock tip from unofficial sources it is important to do some homework on the investment that you are planning to make. Don't just believe everything that is said about any stock tip from your friends or near n dear ones. If you come across any such tips, you should first verify it for its authenticity and then take your investment decision.

4) Don't put all your money in one sector or stock In equity investment, there are shares available for companies that cover almost every sector of the commercial sphere and thus provide you the opportunity to invest into a wide variety of sectors. Every sector or stock is affected by some or the other factors of the economy and as a result of it affect your investment in these stocks / sector.

About Author: MANSUKH investment & Trading services is an Online Trading Solution provider giving you ideas about latest stock market happenings, Online Share Trading, investment services, mutual funds and other offerings with advice to both fledgling investors and experienced day traders. For Best Stock Market updates visit their site http://moneysukh.com 




Always consult a stock market broker. In order to avoid any mistakes in your investment decisions, you should always consult a professional to plan out your investments and to get qualified investment advice.

Stock Market Tutorials for Beginners

WHAT IS STOCK MARKET?

Different business in India are having their expansion plans, all together they can't manage to have such big amount to use, so they are calling people to participate in their companies and get profit out of that in form of dividend, stock split, bonus share etc. Most stocks are traded on exchanges, which are places where buyers and sellers meet and decide on a price. Some exchanges are physical locations where transactions are carried out on a trading floor. The purpose of a stock market is to facilitate the exchange of securities between buyers and sellers, reducing the risks of investing.


WHY COMPANIES ISSUE STOCK?

1. When a company would like to grow, it issues stocks to raise funds and pay for ongoing business activities.
2. It is popular because:
I. The company does not have to repay the money
II. Paying dividends is optional
* Dividends are distributions of earnings paid to stockholders


STOCK MARKET BASICS

1. A stock is a tradable security that a firm issues to certify that the stockholder owns a share of the firm.
2. A share represents an investor's ownership in a "share" of the profits, losses, and assets of a company. It is created when a business carves itself into pieces and sells them to investors in exchange for cash.
3. In order to buy / sell a share, you need to first become a client of one of the stock market members who are commonly known as stock brokers.


STOCK EXCHANGE IN INDIA
1. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE)
2. National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE)

FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK MARKET
1. Inflation
2. GDP
3. Global Markets
4. Govt policies
5. Market trends
6. Financial statements
7. News

FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK PRICE
1. Financial statement
2. Order book
3. Management
4. Land bank
5. Future plans
6. Growth
7. Commodity prices





About Author: MANSUKH investment & Trading services is an Online Trading Solution provider giving you ideas about latest stock market happenings, Online Share Trading, investment services, mutual funds and other offerings with advice to both fledgling investors and experienced day traders. For Best Online Commodity Services visit their site http://moneysukh.com

Weekly Market Outlook 25th June 2011

SNAPSHOT
Indian stocks markets finally succeeded in salvaging a close in the positive territory, snapping the two week downtrend, as the enthralling close to 700 points rally in the last two trading session of the week for the Sensex helped it to overturn the massive losses incurred on the initial day of the week. The benchmark indices went on to re-capture the important psychological 5,450 and 18,200 levels and end the week with close to two percent gains amid encouraging global cues including a resolution over Greece debt trouble after it gained EU and IMF's approval of its latest five-year austerity plan and also after a decision by International Energy Agency to increase oil supplies. However, what followed in the last two sessions was healthy short covering rally as it seemed like investors keenly awaited for a catalyst to buy in India since they were of the belief that domestic markets have bottomed out and a lot of headwinds have been factored in. The BSE Sensex surged by 370.15 points or 2.07% to 18240.68 during the week ended June 24, 2011. The S&P CNX Nifty heaved by 104.85 points or 1.95% to 5471.25.

Food inflation numbers have ricocheted a week after showing some signs of moderation. According to the data released by Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the index for Food Articles group rose to 9.13 percent for the week-ended June 11, from 8.96 percent for the previous week. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) stood at 107 points in May 2011, higher by 7% as compared to the base of 100 in 2010 and marginally up by 0.1% from the month of April. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) were net sellers in the equity segment in the week with gross purchases of Rs 10400.60 crore and gross sales of 11526.70 crore, leading to a net outflow of Rs 1126.10 crore.



Weekly Market Outlook 18th June 2011

 SNAPSHOT

Indian equity indices extended the downtrend for the second consecutive week as investors at large continued to avoid long positions amid an increasingly vulnerable global as well as domestic setup. The hefty position squaring in last three session of the week proved very costly for the benchmark indices as it plunged over two percent on week on week basis. Foreign institutional investors (FII) restlessly attempted to plough back their hot money from the domestic markets because of confluence of worrying economic trends like accelerating inflation, declining foreign investment and slower growth and domestic investment, that policy inertia is only making worse. The BSE Sensex lost 398.01 points or 2.18% to 17870.53 during the week ended June 17, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index plunged by 83.49 points or 1.21% to 6814.79 and the Small-cap index declined by 113.97 points or 1.38% to 8174.49.The S&P CNX Nifty slipped by 119.40 points or 2.18% to 5366.40. On the NSE, Bank Nifty lost 116.00 points or 1.08% to 10598.25, CNX IT sank 296.35 points or 4.45% to 6357.10 while CNX mid-cap declined 70.90 points or
0.89% to 7921.15 and CNX Nifty Junior dropped 227.20 points or 2.01% to 11051.25.

The annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, came much higher than the expectation at 9.06% (Provisional) for the month of May, 2011 (over May, 2010) as compared to 8.66% (Provisional) for the previous month and 10.48% during the corresponding month of the previous year. RBI furthered its aggressive stance against the rampant inflation and hiked repo rate and reverse repo rate by 25 basis points each to 7.50% and 6.50% respectively, in its mid-quarter policy review, which was in line with broader market expectations. 


     

Read More: Equity Research Weekly Report




Weekly Market Outlook 4th June 2011


SNAPSHOT

Despite concluding three out of the five trading session of the week in the negative zone, Indian benchmarks still negotiated a close in the green territory with gains of well over half a percent on the week on week basis. In their journey, the key indices also went on to break the two week downtrend but failed to hold on to the psychological 5,600 and 18,650 levels. Investors went through a hectic week as an assortment of reports popped through the period keeping investors in a dilemma and frontline indices in a sticky situation. Bullishness seemed to be returning to the markets which were evident from the fact that the frontline indices showed some resilience and did not capitulate despite an assortment of disappointing economic reports. To start with it was the GDP data released on Tuesday which showed that nation's economy grew by 7.8% in the fourth quarter ending March this year, mainly due to poor performance of the manufacturing sector. On Wednesday, the HSBC PMI figures based on a survey of around 500 companies were released which showed manufacturing activity in India in May slowed from a month earlier, yet output remained robust, reflecting the underlying strength in business conditions.

Furthermore an official data released by the Ministry of Commerce showed that India's six core industries grew by 5.2% in April 2011 as compared to 7.4% in the previous month and 7.5% in the same month of last year. Another data released by the commerce ministry showed that India's trade deficit in April narrowed to $8.98 billion from $11.03 billion in the same period a year earlier, however, the trade deficit rose (month on month) to $8.98 billion in April from $5.6 billion in March.

Read More: Equity Research Weekly Report

Mansukh Investment & Trading Solutions Video

Equity Research Weekly Market Outlook Report By Mansukh 14th May 2011

Weekly Market
SNAPSHOT
Volume & Volitility IndexIndian benchmarks have gone through every possible circumstance in the passing week, to start with it was consolidation which prolonged for three back to back sessions, thereafter followed a day of turmoil for the frontline indices only to sign off the week with an enthusiastic short covering rally. Markets seem to have formed a firm base around the psychological 5,550 and 18,500 levels and are showing little signs of budging from those levels despite the amount of volatility seen in the markets. Investors at large remained hesitant to build on positions ahead of a slew of announcements like IIP data, weekly inflation figures, export data and the outcome of assembly polls. The initial three sessions remained characterized by volatility as traders utilized every small rise to trim down their positions and book profits. Nevertheless, despite the late correction, the frontline indices managed to accumulate around a percent gains in the session as domestic investors cheered the ruling UPA's win against the Left Parties in West Bengal, Kerala and Assam which may strengthen the image of the beleaguered government.

WEEK GONE BY
The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex remained flat gaining 12.47 points or 0.07% to 18,531.28 for the week ended May 13, 2011. The BSE Mid-cap index shed 19.62 points or 0.29% to 6844.16 and the Small-cap index declined 7.15 points or 0.09% to 8,335.43. On the sectoral front, Capital goods lost 81.26 points or 0.64% to 12688.62, Bankex shed 80.59 points or 0.64% to 12590.17, Oil Gas declined by 46.36 points or 0.47% to 9768.78, IT lost 17.17 points or 0.28% to 6039.60 and Consumer Durables trimming 4.46 points or 0.07% to 3210.24, were the top losers on the BSE while FMCG up by 160.72 points or 4.41% to 3803.26, Realty advancing 82.58 points to 3.94% , Health Care (HC) surging 85.20 points or 1.40% to 6149.40, TECk climbing 18.21 points or 0.50% to 3629.23 and Metal rising 41.02 points or 0.27% to 15404.23 were the main gainers on the sectoral space. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 6.70 points or 0.12% to 5544.75. On the NSE, Bank Nifty lost 1.11% to 11020.95, CNX IT tumbled 0.26% to 6609.55 while CNX mid- cap gained 0.87% to 8034.90 and CNX Nifty Junior surged by 1.74% to 11,185.40. India's food inflation numbers have managed to extend the downtrend for second straight week and have moderated sharply to 7.70% for the week ended April 30 from 8.53% seen in the previous week. India's industrial growth-IIP has surprisingly jumped to 7.3% in March from 3.6% in February; however the Industrial production had grown 15.5% a year ago.

WEEK AHEAD

With the prices of crude oil and FII movements being the constant decisive factors for the markets, the investors in the coming week would be watching the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) data for the month of April for cues. As per the street expectation that India's wholesale price index likely rose 8.43 percent in April from a year earlier, slower than March's 8.98 percent increase due to base effect. Moreover, the postponed meeting of Empowered Group of Ministers (EGoM) for a decision on increasing the prices of diesel and domestic LPG will be taken only by May 17 or 18. Earlier EGoM was to meet on May 11, 2011 to consider hiking the diesel price by Rs 3-4 a litre and domestic LPG rates by Rs 20-25 a cylinder. Moreover trend line drawn adjoining two significant bottoms 5177 and 5232 , next level of support could be around 5430 level where possibility of bounce back couldn't be rule out. Hence clients are advised to remain cautious and use 'Buy on Dip' strategy on any substantial correction. On the flip side 5760-5770 (200 DMA) could be the key resistance zone where we might see some selling pressures. Any closing above this level with substantial volumes may boost the traders sentiment however 5945-5960 could be the next resistance zone. HAPPY TRADING......

Read more about Weekly Market Outlook Report By Mansukh

Nifty May Fut closed at a premium of 36.10 points Report By Mansukh 16th Mat 2011

Derivative Strategy
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty May 2011 futures closed at 5,580.85, at a premium of 36.10 points over spot closing of 5,544.75, while Nifty June 2011 futures were at 5,594.00 at a premium of 49.25 points over spot closing. The near month May 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, May 26, 2011. Nifty May futures saw addition of 2.34% or 0.62 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.26 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's May 2011 futures closed at a discount of 16.05 points at 2640.95 compared with spot closing of 2657.00. The number of contracts traded was 26,144.
ICICI Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.10 point at 1081.25 compared with spot closing of 1076.15. The number of contracts traded was 28,536.
Tata Motors Tata Steel May 2011 futures were at a discount of 1.35 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1214.85. The number of contracts traded was 22,518.
Tata Steel May 2011 futures were at a premium of 2.50 points at 597.40 compared with spot closing of 594.90. The number of contracts traded was 16,976.
RIL May 2011 futures were at a premium of 4.80 points at 955.35 compared with spot closing of 950.55. The number of contracts traded was 20,284.


Strike Price

Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5600 call shed 11.31 lakh shares in OI; down 15.62% and 5700 call shed 4.59 lakh shares in OI, down 6.51%. On the put side nifty May 5500 put added 8.29 lakh shares in OI, up 14.20% and 5400 put added 4.93 lakh in OI, up 6.71%. The put-call ratio of stock option increased from 0.33 to 0.36 while put-call ratio of index option increased from 0.88 to 0.89. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.87.


Nifty May Fut closed at a premium of 7.75 points 11th-May-2011

Derivative Strategy

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty May 2011 futures closed at 5,549.00, at a premium of 7.75 points over spot closing of 5,541.25, while Nifty June 2011 futures were at 5,558.00 at a premium of 16.75 points over spot closing. The near month May 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, May 26, 2011. Nifty May futures saw addition of 4.86% or 1.22 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 26.52 mn units.
From the most active underlying, Tata Motors May 2011 futures closed at a discount of 7.50 points at 1179.50 compared with spot closing of 1187.00. The number of contracts traded was 18,345.
ICICI Bank May 2011 futures were at a discount of 0.60 point at 1077.00 compared with spot closing of 1077.60. The number of contracts traded was 16,884.
SBI's May 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.80 points at 2632.95 compared with spot closing of 2627.15. The number of contracts traded was 13,414.
Infosys May 2011 futures were at a discount of 5.65 points at 2870.00 compared with spot closing of 2875.65. The number of contracts traded was 11,215.
HUL May 2011 futures were at a discount of 1.50 points at 296.30 compared with spot closing of 297.80. The number of contracts traded was 11,926.


Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5600 call added 13.79 lakh shares in OI, up 26.77% and 5700 call added 6.83 lakh shares in OI, up 11.09%. On the put side nifty May 5500 put shed 2.99 lakh shares in OI, down 5.20% and 5400 put added 4.77 lakh in OI, up 8.19%. The put-call ratio of stock option increased from 0.33 to 0.34 while put-call ratio of index option increased from 0.81 to 0.92. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.89.

Read more about Derivative Strategy Report

Nifty May Fut closed at a discount of 3.50 points

Derivative Strategy
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty May 2011 futures closed at 5,547.95, at a discount of 3.50 points over spot closing of 5,551.45, while Nifty June 2011 futures were at 5,562.75 at a premium of 11.30 points over spot closing. The near month May 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, May 26, 2011. Nifty May futures saw addition of 0.21% or 0.05 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.80 mn units.
From the most active underlying, ICICI Bank May 2011 futures closed at a premium of 0.85 points at 1080.25 compared with spot closing of 1079.40. The number of contracts traded was 30,421.
SBI's May 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.80 point at 2651.70 compared with spot closing of 2647.90. The number of contracts traded was 21,492.
Tata Motors May 2011 futures were at a discount of 6.05 points at 1190.00 compared with spot closing of 1196.05. The number of contracts traded was 24,053.
Infosys May 2011 futures were at a discount of 17.00 points at 2865.45 compared with spot closing of 2882.45. The number of contracts traded was 11,278.
Axis Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.30 points at 1258.50 compared with spot closing of 1257.20. The number of contracts traded was 12,647.




Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5600 call shed 2.59 lakh shares in OI, down 4.68% and 5700 call added 4.05 lakh shares in OI, up 6.56%. On the put side nifty May 5500 put added 7.68 lakh shares in OI, up 18.74% and 5400 put added 6.18 lakh in OI, up 11.98%. The put-call ratio of stock option remains same at 0.34 while put-call ratio of index option increased from 0.79 to 0.80. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.78.

Read more about Online Derivative Strategy Report By Mansukh

Nifty May Fut closed at a discount of 1.15 points...5th-May-2011

Derivative Strategy
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty May 2011 futures closed at 5,536.00, at a discount of 1.15 points over spot closing of 5,537.15, while Nifty June 2011 futures were at 5,547.00 at a premium of 9.85 points over spot closing. The near month May 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, May 26, 2011. Nifty May futures saw addition of 5.47% or 1.45 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.00 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's May 2011 futures closed at a premium of 8.30 points at 2624.70 compared with spot closing of 2616.40. The number of contracts traded was 29,022.
ICICI Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 1.05 point at 1057.20 compared with spot closing of 1056.15. The number of contracts traded was 26072.
Tata Motors May 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.45 points at 1159.70 compared with spot closing of 1159.25. The number of contracts traded was 18,095.
Axis Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.00 points at 1240.00 compared with spot closing of 1235.00. The number of contracts traded was 14,863.
Tata Steel May 2011 futures were at a premium of 2.15 points at 591.40 compared with spot closing of 589.25. The number of contracts traded was 14,652.


Nifty Open Interest

Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5600 call added 13.37 lakh shares in OI, up 36.70% and 5700 call added 12.10 lakh shares in OI, up 20.56%. On the put side nifty May 5500 put added 6.44 lakh shares in OI, up 14.29% and 5400 put added 5.54 lakh in OI, up 13.38%. The put-call ratio of stock option increased from 0.32 to 0.34 while put-call ratio of index option increased from 0.75 to 0.83. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.81.

Read more about Derivative Strategy On Future And Option

Related post about Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Report By Mansukh

Derivative Strategy On Futures And Options - Mansukh 2nd-May-2011

Derivative Strategy Report
F & O HIGHLIGHTS

Future & Option (F&O) total turnover stood at Rs 101034.98 crore on April 29, and the total numbers of contracts traded on the day were 3555026.
Of the total turnover, Index Futures contributed Rs 13211.83 crore, Stock Futures Rs 13710.62 crore, and Index Options Rs 71458.45 crore while the contribution of the Stock Options was of Rs 2654.08 crore.
For the day the total F&O PutCall ratio stood at 0.94 while Index Options PutCall ratio was 0.97 and that of Stock Options was 0.38
The top five scrips with highest PCR on OI were Siemens 2.89, Mpasis 1.33, Reliance Infrastructure 1.24, HCL Tech1.11 and Bank of India 1.
Among most active underlyings ICICI Bank witnessed an addition of 4.06% in the May month futures contract, followed by Reliance which saw an addition of 3.58% of OI in the near month contract. SBI witnessed an addition of 5.81% in the next-month futures; followed by Infosys witnessed an addition of 8.05% in the May month futures contract and L&T witnessed an addition of 13.64% in the May month futures contract.

Open Interest Gainer & Looser

Nifty Open Interest
Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5800 call added 18.07 lakh shares in OI, up 89.79% and 5900 call added 8.91 lakh shares in OI, up 37.02%. On the put side nifty May 5700 put added 10.76 lakh shares in OI, up 30.33% and 5600 put added 9.61 lakh in OI, up 24.99%. The put-call ratio of stock option decreased from 0.42 to 0.38 while put-call ratio of index option increased from 0.79 to 0.97. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.94.

Read more about Derivative Strategy Report

Related post about Derivative Strategy On Futures And Options Report by Mansukh

Nifty Apr Fut closed at a premium of 25.55 points ! Derivative Report By Mansukh 29th-april-2011

Derivative Research Report
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,785.20, at a discount of 0.25 points over spot closing of 5,785.45, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,811.00 at a premium of 25.55 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires today. Nifty April futures saw contradiction of 3.93% or 0.52 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 12.83 mn units.
From the most active underlying, ICICI Bank April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 5.25 points at 1117.40 compared with spot closing of 1112.15. The number of contracts traded was 41,387.
ICICI Bank May 2011 futures were at a premium of 8.45 point at 1120.60 compared with spot closing of 1112.15. The number of contracts traded was 39,310.
SBI's April 2011 futures were at a premium of 7.00 points at 2855.35 compared with spot closing of 2848.35. The number of contracts traded was 20,979.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 6.50 points at 2928.75 compared with spot closing of 2922.25. The number of contracts traded was 19,210.
SBI's May 2011 futures were at a premium of 24.00 points at 2872.35 compared with spot closing of 2848.35. The number of contracts traded was 18,164.
Open Interest Gainer & Looser

Nifty Option Open Inetrest
Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty May 5800 call added 7.09 lakh shares in OI, up 51.11% and 5900 call added 6.62 lakh shares in OI, up 37.49%. On the put side nifty May 5700 put added 5.15 lakh shares in OI, up 7.18% and 5600 put added 6.85 lakh in OI, up 21.54%. The put-call ratio of stock option increased from 0.37 to 0.42 while put-call ratio of index option decreased from 0.83 to 0.79. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.78.

Related post about Derivative Strategy

To more about Future Level Report
Margin Report By Mansukkh

Equity Result Updates - Experts Prediction On Market Trends 23rd-April-2011

Below Estimates with Muted Guidelines for FY12
Data Matrix as on 21.04.11 (BSE)
Infosys Technologies,India's second largest IT services exporter once again disappointed the market with the Q4FY11 results below estimates. Although, company has reported quite well but not line with the expectations. Actually, for FY11-12 the guidance of revenue in dollar terms at 18-20% and the EPS of 8-10% are quite acceptable but in rupee terms EPS guidance of Rs 126.05-128.21 is quite disappointed the street. The revenue of the company from banking and financial segment also consolidated in the same quarter.

For FY11, the consolidated revenues of the company stood at Rs 27,501 crore, up 20.93% compared to Rs 22,742 crore reported in the last year. Net profit of the company increased by 9.71% to Rs 6,823 crore against Rs 6,219 crore for the year ended March 31, 2010. Segmental revenue showed a good improvement from Financial Services, up by 27.56% to Rs 9,862 crore from Rs 7,731 crore, Manufacturing revenue were up by 19.68% to Rs 5,393 crore from Rs 4,506 crore and the Retail revenue grew by 28.43% to Rs 3,898 from Rs 3,035 crore, however revenue from Telecom segment declined by 3.06% to Rs 3,549 crore from Rs 3,661 crore in last year. Earnings per share for financial year 2010-11 improved to Rs 119.41 from Rs 108.90.

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS YEARLY

Both margins down by more than 165bps…
For the year ended FY11 Infosys has reported jump of more than 20% in its Net Sales to Rs 25385 crore from Rs 21140 crore in FY10. On account of increase in Cost of Services & Raw Materials up to 50% the operating profit of the company increase by 14.3% to Rs 8414 crore from 7360 crore in previous year and with the jump of 12% from FY10 the Profit After Tax for the same period stood at Rs 6443 crore. Operating Margin of the Infosys for FY11 declined by 167bps to 33.15% while PAT Margin turned down by 184bps to 25.38% during the same period.

Share Price Movement

Segment - Consolidation in Telecom Segment…
For FY11 on segmental basis the major contributor of revenue Financial Services reported rise of 26.37% to Rs 9293 crore compared to Rs 7354 crore this segment has contributed around 36.6% for the same period, Manufacturing Services add 17.5% revenue with the jump of 18.5% to Rs 4686 crore from Rs 3988 crore, Retail segment which accounts around 15% revenue surged by 25.69% to Rs 3757 crore from Rs 2989 crore while due to stiff competition in the sector the Telecom segment revenue came at Rs 3134 crore, down by 3.09% from Rs 3234 crore this has contributed around 12.35% to the total revenue in FY11. The other segments which also accounts 17.8% of the Infosys total revenue has also shown growth of 26.3% to Rs 4515 crore from Rs 3575 crore in FY10.




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Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Report By Mansukh 26-April-2011

Derivative Strategy
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,877.00, at a premium of 2.50 over spot closing of 5,874.50, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,902.00 at a premium of 27.50 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 6.01% or 1.36 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 24.17 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 11.80 points at 2926.90 compared with spot closing of 2915.10. The number of contracts traded was 20,255.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.40 point at 2943.40 compared with spot closing of 2940.00. The number of contracts traded was 19,950.
Sterlite Industries April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.95 points at 184.80 compared with spot closing of 183.85. The number of contracts traded was 19,317.
Axis Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 4.40 points at 1382.00 compared with spot closing of 1377.60. The number of contracts traded was 20,321.
RIL April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.00 points at 1012.00 compared with spot closing of 1009.00. The number of contracts traded was 27,240.

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 21st-April-2011

Nifty Sentiment Indicators
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,874.00, at a premium of 22.35 over spot closing of 5,851.65, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,894.60 at a premium of 42.95 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 6.29% or 1.52 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 25.84 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 12.90 points at 2808.50 compared with spot closing of 2795.60. The number of contracts traded was 32,837.

Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.50 points at 2913.50 compared with spot closing of 2903.00. The number of contracts traded was 23,141.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 4.85 points at 1245.15 compared with spot closing of 1250.00. The number of contracts traded was 21,332.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of 2.30 points at 628.80 compared with spot closing of 626.50. The number of contracts traded was 18,683.

TCS April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.20 points at 1224.95 compared with spot closing of 1221.75. The number of contracts traded was 18,566. .
Derivative Strategy

Nifty Option Open Interest Distribution
Nifty April 5900 call shed 5.69 lakh shares in OI; down 7.79% and 6000 call shed 4.30 lakh shares in OI, down 4.63%. On the put side nifty April 5800 put added 21.33 lakh shares in OI, up 43.39% and 5700 put added 7.97 lakh in OI, up 12.88%. The put-call ratio of stock option decreased from 0.36to 0.34 while put-call ratio of index option decreased from 0.94 to 0.93. On the whole the put call ratio was at 0.89.

NIFTY STRATEGY
The nifty future is likely to trade in the range of 5620-5930 level in short term as the OI is added. The trading strategy would be to create long positions if the nifty takes support around 5800 levels for the target of 5850 and 5900. On the other hand, one can also create short positions if the nifty resists around 5930 levels.

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Equity Research Weekly Market Outlook Report By Mansukh 17-April-2011

Weekly Markets, Net  FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)
SNAPSHOT
For the week ended 15 April 2011, the BSE-Sensex declined by 64.63 points or 0.33% to 19,386.82. The BSE Mid-cap index increased 35.67 points or 0.50% to 7209.17 and the Small-cap index advanced 35.61 points or 0.41% to 8,808.16.On the sectoral front, FMCG zoomed 76.31 points or 2.10% to 3,713.73, Capital Goods (CG) soared 237.52 points or 1.73% to 13,979.29, Bankex surged 83.79 points or 2.80% to 13,382.96, Auto jumped 41.95 points or 0.45% to 9,439.08 and Healthcare (HC) up by 18.53 points or 0.31% to 6,142.02, were the top gainers on the BSE. On the flip side, IT was down by 299.41 points or 4.57% to 6,258.54, TECk was down by 119.75 points, or 3.09% to 3,751.26, Realty was down by 54 points or 2.19% to 2,410.15, Metal was down by 125.88 points or 0.76% to 16,381.24 and Consumer Durables (CD) down by 45.86 points or 0.71% to 6,381.24 were the top loser on the index. The S&P CNX Nifty lost 17.45 points or 0.30% to 5,825. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), CNX IT tumbled 4.56% to 6,842.15 while CNX mid-cap gained 0.36% to 8,317.85, Bank Nifty gained 0.53% to 11,735.65 and CNX Nifty Junior advanced 0.54% to 11606.20.
Volume & Volatility Index(Nifty- April 2011)
WEEK GONE BY
After minutely escaping from dipping into the red terrain in the previous week, the frontline indices slipped into the negative territory this time around, though marginally, as the triple 'I's viz. IIP numbers which merely grew at a pace of 3.6%, Inflation stood at 8.98% in March against 8.31% in Feb 2011 and Interest Rates, continued to haunt the domestic benchmarks for quite some time now, quadrupled with Infosys being the latest addition to the list. The psychological 5,800 and 19,400 levels proved to be a strong supports for the BSE' Sensex and the NSE Nifty as they consolidated around these levels for yet another week and looked in no mood to give away the substantial gains accumulated two weeks ago. The over 3% laceration in international crude oil prices which were trading around two and half year high levels, on the back of apprehensions of sluggish demand and slow economic recovery, too eased investor concerns. However the bourses, after another one-day break, took a nasty blow of around one and half a percent on the back of dreadful local leads. The flavor of a hectic earning season turned bitter right from the very start and the frontline indices took a blow after IT bellwether Infosys reported below expectation quarterly earnings and gave even lower than expected EPS guidance for FY12.

WEEK AHEAD
After having an imperative numbers of economic data last week the next big aspect that will be driving the Indian equity markets will be other corporate quarterly reports as earnings season shifts into high gear in the coming week. Companies like HDFC Bank, IFCI, IndusInd Bank, Magma Fincorp and Persistent Systems will be reporting their numbers in the week. Since there will be no major economic data up for release in the coming week the investor's will continue to watch the crude oil prices and Foreign fund inflows for cues since these two factors have been dictating the market's movements from quite some time now. Meanwhile, the Government of India in the coming week will take up 46 foreign investment (FDI) proposals. From the global markets investors will be eying lots of major economic data from the US, starting with Housing Starts data on April 19, followed by Existing Home Sales, Jobless Claims and finally the Philadelphia Fed Survey data on Thursday, April 21, 2011. For the coming week 5720 followed by 5605 are likely to be good support levels for the Nifty, while the index may face some resistance at 5950 and 6070 levels.HAPPY TRADING….

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 15th-April-2011

Derivative Commodity
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units.
From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880.
ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462.
Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935.
Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.
Derivative Research Report

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Derivative Strategy On Future And Option Daily Report by Mansukh 13-April-2011

F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,798.00, at a premium of 12.30 over spot closing of 5,785.70, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,816.00 at a premium of 30.30 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 10.22% or 2.60 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 28.04 mn units. From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a discount of 3.40 points at 2779.25 compared with spot closing of 2782.65. The number of contracts traded was 14,880. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 3.70 points at 1101.70 compared with spot closing of 1098.00. The number of contracts traded was 13,462. Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 3.50 points at 1213.50 compared with spot closing of 1217.00. The number of contracts traded was 11,935. Infosys April 2011 futures were at a premium of 10.80 points at 3247.65 compared with spot closing of 3236.85. The number of contracts traded was 8,359.

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Future Level Daily Report By Mansukh

Derivative Strategy On Future And Options Daily Report By Mansukh 11th-April-2011

derivative trading in india
F & O HIGHLIGHTS
Nifty April 2011 futures closed at 5,859.30, at a premium of 17.30 over spot closing of 5,842.00, while Nifty May 2011 futures were at 5,877.00 at a premium of 35.00 points over spot closing. The near month April 2011 derivatives contract expires on Thursday, April 28, 2011. Nifty April futures saw an addition of 3.50% or 0.93 million (mn) units, taking the total outstanding open interest (OI) to 27.67 mn units.

From the most active underlying, SBI's April 2011 futures closed at a premium of 2.20 points at 2783.00 compared with spot closing of 2780.80. The number of contracts traded was 19,602. ICICI Bank April 2011 futures were at a premium of 5.65 points at 1103.60 compared with spot closing of 1097.95. The number of contracts traded was 16,513.

Tata Motors April 2011 futures were at a discount of 6.55 points at 1245.50 compared with spot closing of 1252.05. The number of contracts traded was 12,095.

DLF April 2011 futures were at a premium of 0.65 points at 260.70 compared with spot closing of 260.05. The number of contracts traded was 14,173.

Tata Steel April 2011 futures were at a premium of  0.05 points at 629.40 compared with spot closing of 629.35. The number of contracts traded was 11,723.
online commodity trading

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Future Level Morning Report By Mansukh.

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